BowTiedMara - Argentina & Geoarbitrage
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Threading the YPF Petroleum Needle
This week, Judge Preska in New York Judge ordered Argentina to turnover its 51% stake in YPF to judgment creditors.
Jul 1
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Threading the YPF Petroleum Needle
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The Chronoscape of Non-interventionism
This month, the BCRA acknowledged that it sold nearly $2 billion in dollar futures in May.
Jun 27
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The Chronoscape of Non-interventionism
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Mattress Reserves & Currency Runs
The Milei admin is banking on Argentines reinserting their dollar savings
Jun 6
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Mattress Reserves & Currency Runs
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Argentina's Liberation Day
Today the Milei government announced the "Historic Plan for the Reparation of Argentine Savings."
May 22
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Argentina's Liberation Day
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The VAT Slayer
President Milei's plan to create a "super VAT" and the war with governors he is about to unleash
May 9
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The VAT Slayer
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Pesos Through the Nose
Foreign direct investment, exchange rates and economic activity, and outlook until the October midterms
Apr 23
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Pesos Through the Nose
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Ciao Cepo
Prospects on exchange rate, inflation and carry trade, now that most of the currency restrictions are lifted
Apr 16
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Ciao Cepo
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It's Raining Swaps
After renewing the Yuan swap with the PBoC, it looks like Milei's US buddies will also lend a hand.
Apr 11
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It's Raining Swaps
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A Perfect Storm
Argentina's current state in IMF disbursement purgatory
Apr 8
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A Perfect Storm
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Closer to the Fed's Flame
How the Milei administration plans to use the IMF agreement to shut down the BCRA and dollarize
Mar 31
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Closer to the Fed's Flame
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LIBRA: Imbalanced Confidence
The backstory to Javier Milei shilling a pump & dump and potential implications
Feb 16
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LIBRA: Imbalanced Confidence
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Is a Libertarian Revolution Underway in Argentina?
Interview on the Hidden Forces podcast
Feb 3
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Is a Libertarian Revolution Underway in Argentina?
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